Saturday, January 05, 2008

Playoff Picks

Last week was a bust; none of the teams who had “nothing to play for” played as if they had anything to play for and even though I called it to win on the Patriots-Giants game, the Steelers, Colts, and Seahawks all let me down. That means it’s payback time this weekend.

Straight up, I’m picking all the home teams except Tampa Bay to prevail; Manning learned how to win on the road in Buffalo and that will carry over certainly. Seattle’s “twelfth man,” lame as that sounds, will be sufficiently a factor to put an end to Washington’s “team of destiny” run; San Diego will beat Tennessee, and the Steelers, of course, will make amends for their surprising loss to Jacksonville earlier in the season.

Against the spread, though, things change a bit. The Steelers, naturally, as underdogs, will cover it easy, but Seattle, at -3.5, won’t. I see a Josh Brown field goal as time runs out giving the Seahawks a 3 point victory, so I’m going with the Redskins there. The Giants at +3 having nothing to worry about against Tampa Bay; however, the Chargers-Titans game will be close. I can’t imagine that, given the animosity between the two teams that San Diego, at +10 can possibly cover the spread, so I’m going with the Titans.

What’s weird to me is that, on futures, the Steelers are 30-1 to win the Superbowl. At the beginning of the season, they were only 25-1; how can they have less of a chance to win now that they’re in the playoffs as they did before the first snap of the season?

I’m tired of the ongoing canonization of the Patriots; frankly, I wish I could be against them winning it all; it’s not obvious to me that they really have it over the Colts should that come to pass, and there’s no doubt that Pittsburgh will beat them should they have the chance.

Bet on it.

0 Comments:

Post a Comment

<< Home